5.2.2.e

Human Health


Climate Change and Human Health
including air quality, diseases, heat stress.

Health Canada has identified eight significant health concerns related to climate change.

  1. Temperature-related illnesses (heat and cold-caused illness, heart and lung conditions, occupational health risks)
  2. Health effects of extreme weather (injuries and illness, damaged public health services, population displacement, occupational health hazards, mental and social stress due to weather disasters)
  3. Air-pollution related effects (Asthma and other respiratory diseases, heart attacks, strokes and cardiovascular disease, changed exposure to pollutants and allergens both indoors and outdoors, cancer)
  4. Health effects from water and food-borne contamination (diarrhea/poisoning by chemical or biological contaminants)
  5. Diseases in new climate zones (changed patterns of diseases caused by bacteria and viruses carried by mosquitoes, ticks and other carrier species)
  6. Health effects from ultraviolet light exposure (skin damage and skin cancer, cataracts, disturbed immune systems)
  7. Increased vulnerability in certain population segments (seniors, children, chronically ill people, low-income and homeless people, northern residents, disabled people, people living off the land)
  8. Impacts on community health and well-being (loss of income and productivity, social disruption, increased costs for health care, health effects of mitigation technologies [e.g., use of pesticides in water to kill mosquitoes], diminished quality of life).

Source: CANADA'S HEALTH CONCERNS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE AND VARIABILITY http://www.hc-sc.gc.ca/hecs-sesc/ccho/health_story_table.htm

Present health departments are aware of these issues as existing health risks. The key climate change-health issues can be summarized as temperature extremes, extreme weather events, vector and rodent-borne diseases, air quality including indoor environments, UV radiation, and water and food borne diseases.

The government of Canada has established a Climate Change and Health Office (CCHO) to help Canadians better understand the health impacts of climate change. The CCHO works in collaboration with researchers across Canada and provides advice to health care partners in provinces, territories and communities.

Studying what to do to meet the impacts of climate change is important. Research and preparations to undertake adaptations of the present system are needed. See 6.2.2e for future strategies that focus on assessment of risk, preparedness and adaptation to meet the challenges of change.

ACTIVITY 1

Chose any of the issues listed. Research it and visit your local health unit.

WEB Links and resources

Canada Climate Change and Health Office
      www.hc-sc.gc.ca/hecs-sesc/ccho/

Canadian Public Health Association Health Effects of Climate Change and Air Pollution
      www.ccah.cpha.ca/effects.htm

Canadian Association of Physicians for the Environment (CAPE)
      www.cape.ca

University of Western Ontario Ecosystem Health Program Global Climate Change and Health
      www.med.uwo.ca/ecosystemhealth/resources/enviroandhealth.htm

Temperature extremes

The temperature graph below helps put Ontario into context for the global picture as a region of Canada. Departures from the average mean are used as a method of measuring change.

Source: Adapted from Zhang et al, 2000. Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment (2003) Climate, Nature, People: Indicators of Canada's Changing Climate www.ccme.ca

ACTIVITY 2

The graph shows the difference between each year's average temperature and the average for 1961 and 1990. The dark line smooths out the year to year differences to show the general pattern over time.

  1. What is the general pattern for 100 years? in the last 30 years?
  2. What is the difference seen when comparing all of Canada vs Southern Canada?
  3. Explain how/why is this possible.

See sections 5.2.1 Ontario for present weather patterns and recent extremes. and 6.2.1 for future extreme weather, temperature and precipitation

Heat Stress

An increase in annual temperatures with higher minimums may cost more lives due to heat stress. This is already being felt, especially in urban areas, which have a higher annual temperature than the rest of Ontario. Heat stress is even more serious when combined with increased air pollution and humidity.

During extreme hot summers the death rate from heat stress for the elderly increases from 7 per 100,000 to over 66 per 100,000.

The "urban heat island effect" the tendency of cities to retain the sun's heat when vegetation is removed and replaced with pavement and buildings -- will make this situation worse in many of our cities.

Under climate change the number of days that exceed the 33oC heat stress threshold could increase from between 21 to 50 days. The minimums for summer nights are the key factor. These minimums are already increasing. The good news is warmer winters.

Temperature extremes in winter and summer are responsible for more deaths than are extreme weather events such as tornadoes, blizzards, or floods.

 
Source : H. Hengeveld et al., (2002) Science and Impacts of Climate Change CD
Presentation Graphics MSC Environment Canada/ ESS Natural Resources Canada, December

ACTIVITY 3

  1. What base line data is used to model these future Canadian temperature extremes?
  2. Divide the 30 to 35 space on the y axis into 5 equal parts and plot the 1985 data only using the same time line. How many degrees increase are shown over the 80year period?
  3. Explain why recurrence time in years is used. What does this mean in 2050?

For extreme weather events such as flooding, snow or ice storms and drought see section 6.2.1 Lower water levels may result in more boil water notices. Spills or small amounts of pollutants will have a greater concentration when water levels are lower. Contaminants are often when measured in parts per million. Extreme events, such as flooding, leave behind great growing conditions for moulds in the buildings whether homes or commercial or industrial complexes

In extreme events such as heavy rain in a short time, municipalities may have to allow raw sewage to mix with excess runoff to lakes and rivers to avoid flooding or sewer backups e.g. Peterborough July 2004. See the cost of natural disasters and insurance in 5.2.2d.

Air Quality

Most air pollutants come from the burning of fossil fuels in vehicles, factories, power plants and home furnaces. Some air pollutants injure plants and reduce crop yields and

forest growth. Air pollution can irritate the eyes, reduce lung capacity and worsen respiratory diseases. Research how the number of hospital admissions changes on smog days in Toronto.

The number of hospital admissions due to asthma also show a relationship to weather, especially in relationship to smog levels. The affect of temperature changes on health should be examined in the context of changes in CO2 concentrations and smog conditions.

Fossil fuels are carbon-based molecules that have been stored as oil, coal, natural gas.

Carbon is also temporarily stored as carbon dioxide dissolved in the oceans or sequestered as carbohydrates in plant cell walls, starches, fibres, wood or peat. Limestone stores carbon as calcium carbonate. The carbon cycle is completed when carbon dioxide is released into the air when plants and animals respire, decay or are burned. Humans overload the carbon cycle by burning more fuels, especially fossil fuels, producing more carbon dioxide than the terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems normally absorb or are able to recycle.

Levels of airborne particles vary depending on the region, both local and distanced emissions and the season. Ground level ozone, airborne particles combine with other air pollutants to produce smog, especially in summer with higher UV levels. Other air pollutants include nitrogen oxides(NOx) sulphur dioxide (SO2) ammonia (NH3).

Particulate matter, often carbon-based, that are also released in emissions influence global temperatures by changing the albedo affect of the planet. Atmospheric studies after the eruptions of volcanoes help understand these effects.

Fine particles are those with diameters less than or equal to 2.5 micrometers(PM2.5).

These are the greatest threat to human health because they travel deepest into the lungs.

Monitoring methods for fine particulates have been changed but many areas record daily levels that can affect health.

Vancouver Edmonton Toronto Montreal Saint John

Source: Environmental Signals National Environmental Indicator Series, Environment Canada (2003) http://www.ec.gc.ca/soer-ree

ACTIVITY 4

  1. Which city showed the most improvement from 1998 to 2000?
  2. How does Ontario plan to reduce the levels of air borne particulate matter?
  3. How is climate change connected to air pollution?

ACTIVITY 5 Research

Why should such a low concentration of small particles be of concern?

Hint: Check the number of milligrams of active ingredient contained in one prescribed medication. What is the difference between a milligram and a microgram?

Concentrations of carbon dioxide, the most important of these greenhouse gases, appear to have never exceeded 300 ppm during at least the last 400,000 years.

During the past century, concentrations of global carbon dioxide have increased by 31%. Other gases have also increased dramatically. See the graphs below for global methane, nitrous oxides and sulphur dioxide.

There is clear evidence that these increases are due to human emissions, mostly from the burning of fossil fuels for energy purposes and from land use changes.

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Source : H. Hengeveld et al., (2002) Science and Impacts of Climate Change CD Presentation Graphics MSC Environment Canada/ ESS Natural Resources Canada, December

ACTIVITY 6

  1. How many tonnes of carbon is a Gt ? Note that 1 GtC is equal to about 3.7 Gt CO2.
  2. What land use changes would influence this release of carbon?
  3. What influenced fossil fuel emissions in the 30's? 40s? 60's? Check world events.

ACTIVITY 7 Research

How well does this reflect Ontario's use of fossil fuels?

Smog has become a common term for urban air pollution. It contains two key elements: fine airborne particles and ground-level ozone. The Canada-wide graph below shows levels of each named pollutant as a percentage of maximum acceptable levels. Ozone is also explored further later in this section.

http://www.ec.gc.ca/soer-ree

ACTIVITY 8

  1. Name 3 reasons for the decrease in total suspended particulates since 1980?
  2. State the chemical formula for each of the 3 molecules named. Research the key source of each.
  3. Check the legend and calculate the percentage drop between 1980 and 2000 for each.

Other greenhouse gases also affect the climate. Concentrations of nitrogen oxides and methane as well as sulphate aerosols have risen dramatically. Because of the volume of emissions, human emissions of CO2 remain the most important cause for human induced climate change, followed by those for methane, halocarbons, and nitrous oxide.

The following 3 graphs for concentrations of these important contributors to climate change. Note that the graphs cover different time periods and use different units of measurement of concentration.

ACTIVITY 9

  1. Describe the pattern seen in all three graphs.
  2. Account for the increase in concentration over the centuries until today.

ACTIVITY 10 Research

  1. Write general chemical equations for both S02 and S04 molecules when they are dissolved in water. What is their effect when breathed in as a vapour?
  2. What effect do sulphate aerosols have on atmospheric temperature?

Concentrations of methane have increased by more than 150% relative to pre-industrial concentrations. That for nitrous oxide has risen by 16%. Both are now unprecedented in the 400,000 year ice core record. As with CO2, these increases appear to be linked to human activities.

Greenland ice cores indicate that concentrations of sulphate aerosols in the Northern Hemisphere (a global cooling factor) increased rapidly during the 20th century but have somewhat declined since the early 1980s. The recent decline appears to be directly related to North American and European efforts to reduce human emissions to mitigate the risks of acid precipitation and other related environmental concerns.

Source: Adapted from IPCC 2001. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Houghton,J.T. et al. (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. pg 36.

OZONE(O3):

Must be considered as stratospheric ozone as well as ground-level ozone. Although the same molecule O3, it participates in reactions with different molecules in these two different locations- kilometers apart in our atmosphere. Thus scientists who specialize in air quality for human health- study ground level ozone and different chemical reactions than the scientists who specialize in ozone in stratospheric chemistry.

The following article helps to make this connection but deals with stratospheric ozone.

Source: Solar UV in our World (2002) ACER, Environment Canada, Health Canada www.acer-acre.org

The graph below shows ozone concentrations for 35 years for both north and south hemispheres.

Source: H. Hengeveld et al., (2002) Science and Impacts of Climate Change CD Presentation Graphics MSC Environment Canada/ ESS Natural Resources Canada, December

ACTIVITY 11

  1. What is the trend?
  2. What accounts for the jaggedness of the yearly data?

Solar UV in our World (2002) ACER, Environment Canada, Health Canada www.acer-acre.org

Research: What has been happening in ozone layer over the Canadian Arctic and north pole in the last 5 years? Hint: Check out the diagram below. O2 = oxygen molecule, O3 = ozone molecule

Cl = Chlorine atom

Solar UV in our World (2002) ACER, Environment Canada, Health Canada www.acer-acre.org

The map below shows the number of hours with ground level ozone over 82 parts per billion(ppb).

More than 4 hours in air with ground level ozone >82ppb can cause permanent lung damage in adults.

Source: Environment Canada

ACTIVITY 12

  1. Where are the highest levels located in Ontario? Explain why this is possible?
  2. What pattern for high concentration emerges in the above map? Explain.
    Hint: Check wind patterns for this region.

ACTIVITY 13 Research

  1. What is the connection between smog, ultraviolet and ground level ozone?
    Hint: See Triple Whammy in Solar UV in our World (2002) ACER, Environment Canada, Health Canada www.acer-acre.org

Diseases

A warmer climate and longer frost-free seasons may permit the spread of new diseases from warmer climates, such as Lyme's disease, malaria, and West Nile virus.

Local environmental and economic conditions and public health infrastructure are the key factors influencing actual occurrence of disease. In the last few years, several new diseases appeared in Ontario for the first time such as SARS, Lyme's Disease, West Nile virus. Managing community health for changing risk factors is vital.

Announcements concerning West Nile virus, for example were delivered many different ways - from TV spots, interviews with local health authorities, enclosures with household mailings in several languages. All information recommended avoidance of dawn and dusk hours outside and proper application of repellant. Some communities chose to put repellant pellets in catch basins etc.

ACTIVITY 14

  1. Distinguish between vector and rodent-borne diseases, water and food-borne diseases.
    Chose and research one of these re: prevention, symptoms, treatment, % mortality.
  2. How is each of these 3 diseases listed above transmitted to another person?
  3. Why are these new diseases appearing in Ontario? Is malaria expected here?

ACTIVITY 15

Research: Choose one disease new to Ontario in the last 10 years. Collect data and map the yearly spread of one disease in the province OR make a bar graph of the incidence per year.

The diagram below tries to tie it all together! The natural workings of our atmosphere and the effects of human activities on it as well as the effects of changes in our atmosphere on humans!

Source: Solar UV in our World, ACER, Environment Canada, Health Canada,2002 www.acer-acre.org

ACTIVITY 16 Review the diagram carefully.

  1. List as many effects as possible and the role of humans in the changes shown.
  2. List at least 6 changes in the activities of our daily lives that will reduce the rate of change in the reactions shown.