
Human Health and the Effects of a Changing Climate
In Canada, more warm weather may sound like a pleasant change.
But warming global temperatures can also change the patterns of
the weather, and lead to more extreme, violent weather. With
warmer temperatures, there is an increased chance of heat waves,
severe cold, storms, floods or droughts. Changes in growing seasons
and patterns of disease spread will require adaptation to new
situations.
Different areas in Canada are affected differently by changes
in temperature. The northern Arctic areas will warm faster than
more southerly regions, causing the melting of polar ice and
of the permafrost (the permanently frozen ground). Coastal areas
will be affected by rising sea levels. Central parts of the country
are more likely to experience droughts, floods, and storms. In
southern cities, higher summer temperatures can increase the
number of smog days and can cause heat stroke in susceptible
people.
Warmer temperatures bring new conditions for new species to
survive, for example the insects carrying Lyme disease.

Warmer temperatures bring new conditions for new species to
survive, for example the insects carrying West Nile virus.

ACTIVITY 1
- What conditions allow these insects to flourish?
- What measures can be taken to prevent contracting these diseases?
- What are the percentage chances of contracting these diseases? Hint:
see Ontario Health
- What are the symptoms of these diseases?
- What other tropical diseases can be expected to flourish
in southern Ontario, especially with international travel?
Air Temperatures and Heat Stress
Today (2003) in Ontario, the average number of days over 35 o C
is ten per year. This may increase to as many as 46 per year
by the middle of the next century. This is the "urban heat island
effect" - the tendency of cities to retain the sun's heat
when vegetation is removed and replaced.
During extreme hot summers the death rate for the elderly increases
from 7 per 100,000 to over 66 per 100,000. Under climate change
the number of days that exceed the 33oC heat stress threshold could
increase from between 21 to 50 days. See the graphs for predicted
temperatures for Toronto.
ACTIVITY 2 Temperature
and human health research:
- What is the average increase in Celsius degrees that indicates
a fever in adult humans?
- What might be the effect of a 1oC fever lasting
for 3 days in a newborn baby?
- How many degrees increase above the average human temperature
generally causes humans to be admitted to hospital or lose
consciousness? For example, cases of heat stroke or infection.
- How does the average of human temperature of 37oC compare
with other animal average temperatures, such as dogs? Birds?
- Why do higher minimums in air temperature ranges pose
more of a threat to life?
Health
Concerns in Canada
Health Canada has identified 8 significant health
concerns related to climate change.
- Temperature-related illnesses (heat and cold-caused illness,
heart and lung conditions, occupational health risks)
- Health effects of extreme weather (injuries and illness,
damaged public health services, population displacement, occupational
health hazards, mental and social stress due to weather disasters)
- Air-pollution related effects (Asthma and other respiratory
diseases, heart attacks, strokes and cardiovascular disease,
changed exposure to pollutants and allergens both indoors and
outdoors, cancer)
- Health effects from water and food-borne contamination (diarrhea/poisoning
by chemical or biological contaminants)
- Diseases in new climate zones (changed patterns of diseases
caused by bacteria and viruses carried by mosquitoes, ticks
and other carrier species)
- Health effects from ultraviolet light exposure (skin damage
and skin cancer, cataracts, disturbed immune systems)
- Increased vulnerability in certain population segments (seniors,
children, chronically ill people, low-income and homeless people,
northern residents, disabled people, people living off the
land)
- Impacts on community health and well-being (loss of income
and productivity, social disruption, increased costs for health
care, health effects of mitigation technologies [e.g., use
of pesticides in water to kill mosquitoes], diminished quality
of life).
Source: CANADA'S HEALTH CONCERNS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE AND VARIABILITY http://www.hc-sc.gc.ca/hecs-sesc/ccho/health_story_table.htm
According to BBC News Online series Autumn 2004, humanity faces
potential crises in 6 areas: food, water, energy, climate change,
biodiversity, and pollution. All of these will be affected by climate
change! These 6 areas of crisis will also affect Ontario and
its citizens.
Impacts: increases in heat stress and air pollution, climate
variability with extreme events such as storms and floods and
vector, food and water borne diseases all tend to increase the
number of illnesses and deaths.
Lower water levels may result in more boil water notices. Spills
or small amounts of pollutants will have a greater concentration.
Contamination events of pollutants that must be measured
in concentrations of parts per million. See Spills - Hamilton
August 2004, London August 2004
Extreme events, such as flooding, leave behind great growing
conditions for moulds in buildings - whether homes or commercial
or industrial complexes. Millions have been spent on solving
the mould problem in school portables and homes in recent years.
Insurance companies are changing their policies to deal with
this new problem.
Municipalities may have to allow a sewage mix with excess runoff
to lakes. Floodwaters may back up sewage lines. For example, Peterborough
July 2004 had millions of dollars of damage. Infrastructures such as
sewage lines and water lines in most urban centres were built
around the 1950s during a period of rapid growth. They are now
at capacity.
ACTIVITY 3
Research:
- What is the history of the St.John's
Ambulance? Do you have a certificate?
- What emergency preparedness plans are in place in your community?
- Have any extreme weather related events occurred there? Hint:
check the newspaper archives or ask the seniors who have lived
there for decades.
A number of human health issues are associated with weather
and / or climate. Human health is closely related to weather
and the many complex natural systems it affects. Projected climate
change will have measurable impacts on health, both positive
and negative. Projections of potential impacts are extremely
difficult to make, so the health of humans in response to climate
change is highly uncertain. This means that humans should be
ready to adapt, and begin planning for adaptation and ways to
decrease the effects of climate change
Climate-induced health effects on water-borne diseases, effects
related to extreme weather events, air pollution-related effects,
heat-related illnesses and deaths, and vector- and rodent-borne
diseases need to continue to be researched. Scenarios for the
projected changes in climate could then be written based on the
data. The precautionary principle should be applied and measures
taken to adapt to or mitigate the effects.

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